The following estimates are based on data on infections published by the Directorate-General for Health last Thursday and consider two scenarios of infection progression by analyzing the sensitivity of the variation in Rt (transmission index). The optimistic scenario is based on a 2% reduction in Rt, and the pessimistic scenario is based on a 2% increase in Rt. The calculations were made using the Adapttt – Surge Planning Tool, developed by the Portuguese Association of Administrators Hospitals and Global Intelligent Technologies, in collaboration with the World Health Organization. The figures presented refer to the forecast of the use of resources to April 9th.
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