Covid-19. Evaluation of the deflation on April 19 will be “decisive” to define the course of the reopening

Covid-19. Evaluation of the deflation on April 19 will be “decisive” to define the course of the reopening
Covid-19. Evaluation of the deflation on April 19 will be “decisive” to define the course of the reopening

The next two weeks will accumulate two effects simultaneously: on the one hand the impact of the second phase of reopening which starts on Monday and, on the other hand, the result of Easter. This phase will already be more complex and begins to raise greater concern among experts, especially because at the time when the Government has to assess the impact of these two weeks, to decide whether or not Portugal advances to the third stage of deflation, scheduled for 19 April, not enough time has passed to see clearly in the epidemiological indicators the impact of these coming days on the number of new cases.

“We will only see the impact of this reopening in the second half of April and we are concerned about what will happen. It will be a decisive time to know which way we are going ”, says Manuel Carmo Gomes, professor of epidemiology at the Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon (FCUL) and one of the members of the group of experts who defined the red lines to control the disease. Epidemic. “The ideal was that the evaluation to decide the opening of the third phase [a 19 de abril] could be done a little later. We even suggested that the phases should progress only every three weeks to give more time to look at the indicators, but they preferred to do it every 15 days to coincide with the renewal of the state of emergency. ”

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