Opening of schools is already reflected in the number of new cases – Executive Digest

The reopening of schools started on March 15, with daycare centers, pre-school and first cycle and an increase in new cases of Covid-19 in these age groups is already being felt, according to Carlos Antunes, a researcher at the Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon (FCUL), quoted by ‘Público’.

The specialist indicates that there is an increase in new infections in the age groups between 0 and 5 years old and between 6 and 12 years old, precisely those who resumed on-site education in the first phase. The data analyzed by the specialist show an “increasing rate” of new cases.

Carlos Antunes, who has been monitoring the incidence of the virus in young people in order to understand the impact of the closing and opening of schools on the evolution of the pandemic, reveals that on March 21 an increase in cases between 0 and 5 years old was already visible and on March 26th it was the group’s turn between 6 and 12 years old.

Subsequently, he adds, as of March 29, both age groups registered a “significant” rise in the incidence by Covid-19, a trend contrary to that observed in other ages, according to the expert.

“They are the only ones that are increasing the incidence. While the others are decreasing or on the ‘water line’, these have been increasing for several days and at very high rates ”, says quoted by ‘Público’. From 6 to 12 years old the daily increase “is the indicator that we have as the first sign of the first phase of deflation”, he adds.

Despite this increase, the FCUL researcher points out that this “does not trigger the global incidence”, and there must be a “relative and moderate concern”, he refers to the same newspaper.

“It is not worrying. Only when we have an increase in global incidence and a spread across the country is it worrying. As long as it is centered in some municipalities and public health measures can act locally to stagnate the increase in transmission chains, it is possible to continue in the situation we are in, ”he explains.

This Monday, April 5th, it was the turn of the elders, from the second and third cycles, to return to school. Now Carlos Antunes expects this age group to be the next to report an increase in viral incidence.

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