Commentator Miguel Daoud recalls that the bulletin represents the expectations of the financial market in relation to the Brazilian economy, taking into account a stable political situation.
Therefore, he warns that the exchange rate may close the year above R $ 6 due to the internal situation that is not under control. “We have a whole scenario that shows that it will not be a bed of roses from now on,” he says.
Focus’s outlook for the IPCA, an index that measures the country’s official inflation, remains at 4.81%. According to the economist at Consulting Trends, Silvio Campos, we can have even higher inflation, taking into account the rise in commodities worldwide.
The economist Mario Battistel, on the other hand, recalls that with a high exchange rate, the prices of imported inputs go up, which also weighs on inflation. In addition, with Petrobras’ policy of following the international market, fuels are more expensive and also influence the IPCA.
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